Research that Informs Practice
Research that Informs Practice

Research that Informs Practice

 

 

Many countries have big plans for emerging technologies such as artificial intelligence (AI) and spatial computing (XR), but they are just beginning to govern the many types of data firms collect, analyze, and monetize to create these technologies. Elliott School faculty Susan Aaronson directs GWU’s Digital trade and Data Governance Hub which maps data governance at the national and international levels and trains policymakers around the world on data governance issues.

 

Data is the foundation of the US and global economy, but it is difficult to govern.  There are many types and sources of data; and data can be simultaneously a commercial asset, ‘fuel’ for data analytics such as AI, and a public good.  Government officials don’t yet know how to regulate data without stifling innovation, and firms are not sufficiently incentivized to consistently anonymize, minimize, and protect our personal data.  Moreover, firms are not transparent enough about the data they collect and attempt to protect from theft, manipulation or misuse.  Dr. Susan Aaronson, research professor and director of the Elliott School of International Affairs’ Digital Trade and Data Governance Hub focuses her research on these problems. She examines how data governance affects human rights, economic growth, human autonomy and global stability.

“Data is already changing international affairs,” says Aaronson. “Countries that are rich in data or have technologists with data expertise have an advantage, yet we may be reaching an inflection point in the governance of data” Aaronson notes that ”immersive spatial computing technologies such as augmented reality (AR) and virtual reality (VR) can change how we see, interact, and experience the world. These rapidly evolving technologies are likely to challenge how firms and governments collect, protect, use, and reuse various types of data."

 

"These rapidly evolving technologies are likely to challenge how firms and governments collect, protect, use, and reuse various types of data."

Susan Ariel Aaronson, Director, Digital Trade and Data Governance Hub

 

In June, with support from foundations, corporations, and civil society groups, the Elliott School hosted a hybrid conference on the relationship between these immersive technologies and international affairs.  Attendees heard how government agencies such as the Army and Air Force and firms such as Meta currently use these technologies.

Two people try on virtual reality googles
a person sits while using virtual reality googles and holding a video game controller

Conference attendees try out an immersive virtual reality experience provided courtesy of Meta.

 

On a global scale, extended realities (an umbrella term that encompasses augmented, virtual, and mixed realities) pose challenges and present opportunities. Countries are already establishing virtual embassies, and on July 18 of this year, Dubai’s crown prince Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum announced a “metaverse strategy,” which he claimed would create 40,000 virtual jobs and contribute $4 billion to Dubai’s gross domestic product over five years, according to reporting in Fortune.

All three forms of spatial computing are being used to simulate reality. Today surgeons   hone their skills in a virtual space, climate scientists use digital twins (computer generated replicas) to test-drive approaches to mitigating floods, and the US Army and Air Force use virtual reality simulations to train soldiers in battlefield situations.  Despite the clear educational benefits, these technologies present very real costs according to Dr. Aaronson.

Governments—like South Korea’s—provide virtual services. The roughly $177.1 million that South Korea has invested in the metaverse is among the first by a nation in the “nascent industry” and represents “a cautious first step into the metaverse,” according to CNBC, which added that Seoul is creating a metaverse platform “to allow citizens to access public services virtually.”

Conference attendees try out an immersive virtual reality experience provided courtesy of Meta.

Two people wear virtual reality goggles
photo of a laptop with two Oculus controllers on a table

 

Virtual Trouble Becomes Real Legal Trouble

“Is this a good thing or a bad thing? It’s going to be both,” says Dr. Aaronson, “the technologies will lead to growth, and just as AI (artificial intelligence) can be a global, public good, its harms need to be mitigated.”  An individual with a desire and the skill set could do immense harm in virtual realities, according to Dr. Aaronson, who thinks that there will be not just one “metaverse,” but many of them.

 

"Is this a good thing or a bad thing? It’s going to be both."

Susan Ariel Aaronson, Director, Digital Trade and Data Governance Hub

 

Dr. Aaronson is not telling individuals to avoid playing online games, but people need to be aware of the risks not just to them as individuals but to society and democracy, because of the sheer volume of information provided.  For example,  “When you try on your glasses (virtually), they not only get information about the color of your eyes, and how often you blink,” which in turn can tell firms something about your emotions, she says. The embedded sensors used to create Immersive technologies collect a wide range of biometric data based on an individual’s unique characteristics including eye tracking, sweat, and heart rate.

 

Diligent researchers with piles of data that is allegedly anonymized can find out a great deal about individuals.

 

But Aaronson cautions, only some 28 countries, and  only 5 US states  regulate the use, reuse and monetization of such data by firms and/or governments.  “If you think the amount of data that we are dealing with now is a lot, companies and governments operating in the metaverse will collect, analyze and store so much more,” Dr. Aaronson said.

And now that companies can collect biometric data, from sweat on one’s hands to heartbeat to eye blinking, “this is beyond the magnitude that you and I can think about,” Dr. Aaronson says. She hopes that by mapping data governance and by getting people thinking about what democratic, accountable data governance looks like, we can improve data governance to achieve both human rights and development objectives.

Aaronson stresses that “there’s no such thing right now as effective anonymization of data,” she warns. Diligent researchers with piles of data that is allegedly anonymized can find out a great deal about individuals.

Just as there are many types of data, Aaronson believes that we need to think about data’s potential to improve our world. She thinks that private companies, which have the best and largest computers and most talented computer scientists, ought to be more transparent about the data they hold. Most firms share some of their data (data stewardship), but Aaronson believes policymakers should develop ways to incentivize these firms to share more of their data and to analyze it in the global public good. For example, Uber and Google Maps know a lot about traffic jams. Search engines and social networks have a lot of data about how people behave when they get sick. Armed with this data, researchers would be better able to help mitigate global problems such as climate change or the spread of disease.

 

"These companies have way too much data that they can’t protect, but they control the use and reuse of it. That is really worrisome."

Susan Ariel Aaronson, Director, Digital Trade and Data Governance Hub

 

Aaronson also worries about the power and influence of the 20 large firms (mainly in the US and China—the data behemoths) that dominate sectors such as AI and XR. “These companies have way too much data that they can’t protect, but they control the use and reuse of it. That is really worrisome.” It's a brave new world that researchers and governments are beginning to come to grips with. We all need to better understand the implications of data and its use in extended reality settings. “Just as scholars learned how to study arms control, they’re going to have to learn how to study spatial computing too,” she adds. The data-driven future is already here.

 

Headshot of Marlene Laruelle

The War in Ukraine: Labeling our Opponents Overly Simplifies War’s Complex Realities

By Marlene Laruelle, Director, Institute for European, Russian, and Eurasian Studies; Director, Illiberalism Studies Program; Director, Central Asia Program; Co-Director, PONARS-Eurasia; Research Professor of International Affairs and Political Science

 

The war has transformed the field of Russian Studies and post-Soviet/Eurasian Studies, and more broadly impacted the way we look at the international (dis)order and the future of Europe. It has also highlighted the gap between the perceptions of the war by the West and by the Global South, those countries outside of Europe and North America, predominantly low- and middle-income, which refused to follow the United States and Europe in their sanction strategy.

The war has also highlighted how much labels matter: the images of destruction of civilians in Ukraine and the incredible courage of Ukrainians, on one side, has generated waves of international support. On the other side, the Russian army’s violence and preposterous narratives on Ukraine’s illegitimacy as a state and a nation have resulted in the rise of analogies of Putin being Hitler, and of Russia being fascist.

 

“Labels produce a smokescreen that reduces our analytical tools and create a false causality"

 

But such emotional labels tend to obscure more than they help to explain the current geopolitical crisis. Labels produce a smokescreen that reduces our analytical tools and create a false causality, as if the dangerous ideology of the Russian regime could be explained by simply labeling Russian President Putin an irrational fascist.

The obsession with labeling Russia fascist obfuscates many other crucial components. First, even if Russia is obviously solely responsible for launching the war, the strategic deadlock that preceded the invasion was co-created by the West and Russia together: we had three decades of mutual misunderstanding about the security architecture of Europe; of mixed signals sent by the West about the eastern borders of NATO; and Russia’s own revanchist vision on its neighbors’ search for strategic independence. Second, the Russian regime has evolved over the years.

We shouldn’t retroactively project Moscow's attack as inevitable; several futures were possible until very recently. Third, Russian society remains a divided and complex society, which cannot accurately be defined as fascist.

The regime has been able to secure only passive support from the majority of its citizens. To obtain this tepid support it has to hide the war, the casualties, and cannot mobilize men for fear of generating mass dissatisfaction. Young people are particularly opposed to the war. The regime did become more authoritarian, personalistic, isolationist, and repressive—but it isn’t fascist, because it lacks a totalitarian party or youth organization, the utopian idea of a rebirth of the nation through war and violence, and an authentic mass grassroots fascist dynamic.

 

We train students to use critical thinking, in particular during highly emotional and complex moments such as the current war, in order for them to develop the ability to exercise independent judgment even under strong media and political pressure.

 

Classifying Russia as fascist is not only an academic debate about the use and misuse of terminology. There are policy consequences. Drawing comparisons with Nazi Germany is convenient because we know how the history ends and who was on the right side of it.

But it leads us down a hall of distorted historical metaphors that mirror Russia’s own obsessive narrative about the war. It is not necessary to reproduce Putin’s own rhetorical extremism with charges of “fascism,” or to get caught up in circular narratives in order to be on the right side of history in the war against Ukraine.

We train students to use critical thinking, in particular during highly emotional and complex moments such as the current war, in order for them to develop the ability to exercise independent judgment even under strong media and political pressure.

We interpret and explain the multidimensionality of any war, the need to look at historical patterns, missing windows of opportunities, sociocultural background that explain gaps in perceptions, and not only at reductionist depictions of the leader’s personality.

Through this process, students at the Elliott School are better prepared, both intellectually and as future policy makers, to analyze the current international scene as a complex, holistic whole.

 

24 Hour Ukrainathon

IERES, PONARS Eurasia, and the Petrach Program on Ukraine hosted a 24-hour “marathon” online event following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The program featured continuous 15-minute talks from international experts starting Wednesday, March 16, at noon EDT and lasting until noon the following day.

More than 90 speakers joined forces to provide comprehensive insight into the war from multiple angles. Each speaker offered a 10-minute talk on their area of expertise related to the conflict, followed by a brief Q&A. As part of the event, attendees were encouraged to contribute to organizations that support displaced Ukrainian students and scholars.

Listen to the Ukrainathon Program

View the full event recording. View by speaker below:

 

Headshot of Hope Harrison

The Power of History—and of Efforts to Control Narratives about the Past

By Hope M. Harrison, Professor of History and International Affairs

 

Students need to be prepared to assess the validity and motivation behind historical claims, and we at the Elliott School of International Affairs are dedicated to providing our students with the necessary skills to do this.

 

 

History—or interpretations thereof—is regularly in the headlines. Just as the Black Lives Matter movement of recent years in the U.S. and elsewhere has made clear that centuries-old history can still impact the present, there are many ways that history and the lessons people draw from it (or the narratives global leaders legislate about it) matter in our world now.

World leaders and private citizens alike feel compelled to vocalize their views on history, and in the case of some world leaders they have even created historical commissions and backed legislation that prescribes certain historical narratives.

Students need to be prepared to assess the validity and motivation behind historical claims made at home and around the world, and we at the Elliott School of International Affairs are dedicated to providing our students with the necessary skills to do this.

 

We train the next generation to ask essential questions about historical claims and about what politicians and others may call “lessons of history.”

 

Understanding the role of history in international affairs and how leaders seek to manipulate historical narratives are key parts of critical thinking for future leaders. We train the next generation to ask essential questions about historical claims and about what politicians and others may call “lessons of history.”

Whose lessons? How do historical narratives relate to power structures in various countries? What evidence is given when historical claims are made? How can you fact check the evidence given? All students in our MA program in International Affairs are required to take History 6030, a course that examines the uses and abuses of history in international affairs. Professors from the History Department teach sections of the class, as does the official Historian of the United States at the Department of State.

Russia’s President Vladimir Putin, China’s President Xi Jinping, former president Donald Trump, and many others have attempted to control views of the past, all in an effort to preserve or bolster their own power in the present. Indeed, Putin has insisted that Russian and Ukrainian history is the same and that Ukraine has no separate history. He has gone to war in part to try to force his view on the Ukrainians.

 

Students benefit from the close ties Elliott School faculty have to the Wilson Center’s History and Public Policy Program and to the National Security Archive (located at GW).

 

Elliott School students have the option of taking courses on the Cold War and on the history of the Soviet Union, courses that are now essential background to understanding Putin’s war on Ukraine—both to highlight the similarities to these earlier periods but also some key differences.

In addition, students benefit from the close ties Elliott School faculty have to the Wilson Center’s History and Public Policy Program and to the National Security Archive (located at GW), both of which of which have large collections of primary source documents related to the Cold War and post-Cold War periods. Through courses, seminars, guest lectures, and conferences, we also help train graduate students to conduct their own archival research on contemporary history.

In all of these ways, Elliott School students have multiple options to enable them to make sense of the ongoing “history wars” in the U.S. and around the world.